Track Record / T
T
Called Jun 27, 2026
at $22.71
at $22.71
▲ Bullish
+1.3% over 1 week
Reference price
$22.71
Horizon
1 week
Confidence
55% (derived)
Scores on
Jul 4, 2026
MISS
Scored MISS · realized -9.3%
Reference price
$22.71
Price at horizon
$20.59
Realized move
-9.3%
Scored Jul 4, 2026 by the fixed public rule: a directional call is a HIT only if the
realized move went its way beyond a ±1% dead band, a MISS if it went against, and FLAT inside the band. Called
+1.3%; realized -9.3%.
The Call
Deep-value telecom yielding ~5%; cheap multiples vs. heavy debt load, SpaceX competition risk, and a 52-week range overhang.
Base-case reasoning
Momentum positive today (+1.3%); near-term fee hike news supportive. Resistance at $23 likely caps short-term move.
Bull & Bear
▲ Bull
Fee hikes + fiber/5G sub adds + debt paydown triggers re-rating to ~9x forward EPS. Yield compression plays out if rates fall.
▼ Bear
Starlink adoption accelerates, subscriber losses mount, debt rollover costs rise — dividend cut risk re-emerges and multiple compresses further.
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