Track Record / TSLA
TSLA
Called Jun 29, 2026
at $390.71
at $390.71
▲ Bullish
+10.6% over 3 months
Reference price
$390.71
Horizon
3 months
Confidence
25% (derived)
Scores on
Sep 29, 2026
MISS
Scored MISS · realized -7.6%
Reference price
$390.71
Price at horizon
$360.84
Realized move
-7.6%
Scored Sep 29, 2026 by the fixed public rule: a directional call is a HIT only if the
realized move went its way beyond a ±1% dead band, a MISS if it went against, and FLAT inside the band. Called
+10.6%; realized -7.6%.
The Call
TSLA trading at $388.82, up 2.4% today; richly valued momentum name with deteriorating earnings but bullish near-term catalysts from SpaceX tie-up and Europe/China demand recovery.
Base-case reasoning
Bull path reclaims 52W high zone near $498 on FSD/delivery beats; bear path retraces to $320 on margin compression.
Bull & Bear
▲ Bull
Delivery beat + Robotaxi launch + FSD regulatory approval triggers multiple expansion back toward 52W high.
▼ Bear
Earnings miss or margin compression accelerates sell-off; insider selling resumes; macro risk-off punishes high-beta name.
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