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Track Record / TXN

TXN Called Jul 23, 2026
at $294.19
▼ Bearish -1.1% over 1 week
Reference price
$294.19
Horizon
1 week
Confidence
55% (derived)
Scores on
Jul 30, 2026
Pending
This call is open and on the clock
Scores on Jul 30, 2026
A public commitment, made Jul 23, 2026 with TXN at $294.19. It will be scored automatically on its horizon date against the trailing 3-day average price — whether it's right or wrong. Nothing here is hindsight: the call, the entry price, and the deadline were all fixed at the time it was made.

The Call

Post-earnings drift: TXN beat Q2 but shares slipped — rich valuation vs. recovering analog cycle creates a tension trade at $294.

Base-case reasoning

Post-earnings drift lower likely; gap fill to $285 open is a magnet. Consolidation range $282-$298 probable.

Bull & Bear

▲ Bull

Analog cycle turns decisively in H2; industrial/auto restocking drives revenue back above $20/share. Multiple re-rates to 40x on earnings inflection. Retests 52-wk high.

▼ Bear

Cycle recovery disappoints, STMicro-style warnings spread. At 49x P/E with -16% EPS growth, even modest guidance cut triggers sharp de-rating toward 35x on lower earnings.

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