Track Record / WMT
WMT
Called Jul 11, 2026
at $113.90
at $113.90
▲ Bullish
+6.2% over 3 months
Reference price
$113.90
Horizon
3 months
Confidence
25% (derived)
Scores on
Oct 11, 2026
MISS
Scored MISS · realized -3.4%
Reference price
$113.90
Price at horizon
$110.02
Realized move
-3.4%
Scored Oct 11, 2026 by the fixed public rule: a directional call is a HIT only if the
realized move went its way beyond a ±1% dead band, a MISS if it went against, and FLAT inside the band. Called
+6.2%; realized -3.4%.
The Call
Defensive retail giant trading at a premium; strong earnings growth but valuation stretched vs. 52-week highs and forward multiples elevated.
Base-case reasoning
Path to $135 high requires earnings beat + margin expansion. Insider selling pressure and valuation cap upside near-term.
Bull & Bear
▲ Bull
E-commerce + advertising revenue accelerate; gross margin expansion; consumer trade-down cycle sustains traffic beats.
▼ Bear
Margin compression from tariffs/wages + any earnings miss triggers P/E compression from 40x toward 30x = ~25% drawdown.
See how Sigma calls any ticker
Every official call is logged here and scored by a fixed rule. Run a live analysis on any of 5,000+ stocks — free.
Analyze WMT live →