Track Record / XOM
XOM
Called Jul 16, 2026
at $145.87
at $145.87
▲ Bullish
+11.0% over 3 months
Reference price
$145.87
Horizon
3 months
Confidence
55% (derived)
Scores on
Oct 16, 2026
HIT
Scored HIT · realized +20.9%
Reference price
$145.87
Price at horizon
$176.37
Realized move
+20.9%
Scored Oct 16, 2026 by the fixed public rule: a directional call is a HIT only if the
realized move went its way beyond a ±1% dead band, a MISS if it went against, and FLAT inside the band. Called
+11.0%; realized +20.9%.
The Call
Large-cap integrated energy; defensive income with upstream leverage to oil >$80 — trades 17% off 52-week high with insider buying balanced by earnings headwinds.
Base-case reasoning
Pioneer synergy recognition + continued buybacks may re-rate toward 52-wk mid; oil the key variable.
Bull & Bear
▲ Bull
Oil sustains $85+; Pioneer cost saves accelerate; buyback pace lifts EPS; multiple re-rates to 26x.
▼ Bear
Oil drops below $72 on demand fears; EPS misses again; dividend coverage questioned; de-rating to 10x.
See how Sigma calls any ticker
Every official call is logged here and scored by a fixed rule. Run a live analysis on any of 5,000+ stocks — free.
Analyze XOM live →