Analyses / AMZN vs WMT
AMZN vs WMT
Side by Side
| AMZN | WMT | |
|---|---|---|
| Company | Amazon.com Inc | Walmart Inc |
| Price | $251.52 | $109.08 |
| Today | — | — |
| Valuation | mixed; cash-flow valuation elevated | Overvalued on absolute basis; fair only if high-growth thesis sustains. |
| Valuation score | 38/100 | 45/100 |
| Setup | Growth; valuation-sensitive | Quality Growth / Defensive |
| Confidence | 55 | 65 |
| Category | Large-cap growth stock | Large-cap Retail |
The Case for Each
AMZN
Bull: In a bull scenario, 11.73% revenue growth and an 11.16% operating margin persist, supporting a move toward the reported 52-week high of $287.20. Cloud and AI interest appears in a headline, but segment results are unavailable.
Bear: In a bear scenario, the 352.56x price-to-free-cash-flow ratio leaves little room for weaker cash generation. Insider sales exceed purchases in the supplied activity, while a 1.51 beta indicates elevated market sensitivity.
WMT
Bull: YoY EPS growth of 24.21% + 5Y revenue CAGR of 4.99% show operational excellence. Dividend yield 0.76% + low beta (0.56) appeal to income/defensive investors. Recent earnings beat signals momentum. Scale, supply-chain efficiency, and e-commerce growth support durable competitive moat.
Bear: P/E of 38.5x and forward P/E of 38.8x are elevated vs historical 25-30x range and peer average (~20-25x for large-cap retail). Net margin of 3.07% is razor-thin; operationally margin expansion constrained. Price-to-FCF of 56.97x suggests limited upside if growth slows. Stock is down ~19% from 52w high ($135.16); technicals show 2nd-half weakness.
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